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Justice and Peace: Are they compatible in
Sudan?
By: Bill Andress July 21, 2008
The request by the prosecutor of the
International Criminal Court (ICC) Luis Moreno-Ocampo that the
International Criminal Court issue an arrest warrant for Sudanese
President Omar Al-Bashir has been controversial in the extreme. The
prosecutor wants al-Bashir indicted on charges of genocide, crimes
against humanity, and war crimes in Darfur. His presentations suggest
that he has strong evidence to support his request.
Few would argue that, as a minimum, Bashir
as President of Sudan bears ultimate responsibility for the death,
destruction, carnage and brutality which has been heaped on Darfurians
of African culture by both Government of Sudan regular forces and its
allied Arab militia. That is the responsibility of leadership. Few
would argue that a negotiated peace to stop the bloodshed and abuse is
essential or that civilians must be protected. Few would argue that
justice requires both restoration of the land, homes, crops, animals etc
which have been taken and punishment of those who are responsible for
the crimes.
What seems debatable is whether the
indictment of Bashir is useful and sufficient to achieve both
restoration and accountability. There are two relatively distinct camps
among people who clearly want the genocide stopped, peace restored, and
justice imposed.
Those who say that the indictment would be
a mistake often cite the following:
a. The indictment is viewed by African
people and politicians as an effort to re-colonize Africa.
b. The ICC has been focused on Africa
when other continents have similar issues.
c. The indictment is viewed as an
imposition of Western justice.
d. The indictment will result in Bashir's
further restricting the humanitarian effort, limiting the deployment of
UNAMID, delaying the peace process in Darfur and in the failure of the
CPA.
e. If Bashir is indicted there will be a
power vacuum which will lead to anarchy.
f. There will be negative reactions from
the African Union, Arab League, Russia, China and the National Congress
Party.
Those who say that the indictment is
appropriate and timely argue that:
a. Holding people accountable for war
crimes directly promotes peace. They cite the case of Slobodan
Milosevic noting that concerns similar to those above were raised, that
the concerns did not materialize, and that Milosevic's hold on power did
not last long after his indictment.
b. There is no progress toward a
negotiated peace in Sudan; Sudan already has limited the deployment of
UNAMID to the point of its failing; and that humanitarian aid is so
constrained by government-allowed (perhaps sponsored) violence that it
already is totally inadequate. They ask why we would want to maintain
this situation.
c. If Bashir is not indicted what would
be the incentive for his changing the brutality and repression of the
Sudanese people that has marked the entire period of his Presidency.
They note that if he remains untouchable, logically he should be
emboldened to continue his thus far successful (from his perspective)
policies.
d. The indictment provides a path for
change by Sudanese who do not want their nation ruled by an indicted war
criminal, Sudanese who see this as an opportunity to rid themselves of
leadership which is creating such problems for their nation, and
Sudanese within the NCP who will turn against Bashir both for self
preservation from similar treatment and because they will question his
leadership.
Indeed the
International Crisis group notes that one possibility is, " ..... it may
be that the increased pressure now placed on the NCP governing regime
will lead it to take long overdue steps to cease all violence, implement
genuine and credible measures to resolve the Darfur crisis – including
allowing the full and effective deployment of the UNAMID peacekeeping
force – and fully carry out its side of the bargain to implement the
North-South Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA). " (Note 2)
Within the context of the debate, we must
not lose track of the facts that:
a. The Prosecutor was tasked to
investigate by the UN Security Council; he has concluded there are
reasonable grounds to believe that Omar al Bashir bears criminal
responsibility for 10 counts of genocide, crimes against humanity and
war crimes. Ocampo is doing what he was told to do.
b. Should the ICC indictments really be
impediments to peace, it may or may not be true that absent the ICC
indictments, any path to peace exists. For as John Prendergast notes,
" The regime has directly and repeatedly
defied the will of the Security Council by:
• Not arresting the
(previous) ICC indictees;
• Obstructing UNAMID’s deployment;
• Continuing offensive military flights;
• Maintaining support to the Janjaweed; and
• Flouting the arms embargo and buying weapons from
Security Council members" (Note 1)
c. Article 16 of the Rome Statute allows postponing for a year efforts
to arrest Al-Bashir even if he is indicted.
Someone once said that insanity is defined
as doing the same thing yet expecting different results. And, John
Prendergast provided a compelling argument that Bashir DOES respond to
well coordinated, international pressure, "The record shows over the
last two decades that General Bashir’s regime has backed off its most
deadly war strategies when international pressure has been well
coordinated and at its high points. When the spotlight was on the
regime’s use of food as a weapon, it relented. When the pressure focused
on ending bombing of civilians in the South, it stopped. When the
temperature went up over the regime’s facilitation of a resumption of
slavery, it abandoned its strategy and slave-raiding ended. " (Note 1)
So in the face of such divided public
opinion from people and groups on each side of the controversy who are
knowledgeable and caring, what is the right course of action?
Most of the reasons given for believing
that the indictment would be a mistake are opinions and examination of
possibilities. However, when considering the allegation of those who
claim that the ICC has been focused on Africa when other continents have
similar issues, it is appropriate to remember while it is accurate that
since the court was established in 2002 it has charged only suspects in
Africa, in the first three cases the prosecutor was invited to
investigate by the host government, while in Sudan the case was referred
by the Security Council. This pattern does not suggest that the
prosecutor's actions are based on any bias. Regardless, the failure to
indict another does not mean that justice is served by failing to indict
Bashir.
On the other hand, most of the reasons
given for believing that the indictment is appropriate are based on
observations of Bashir's past behavior under differing circumstances and
the results of criminal indictments of other leaders. There also are
some opinions expressed that others in Sudan might react in a positive
way to Bashir's indictment.
Some have raised concern that Russia,
China and others may attempt to derail the process by invoking Article
16 of the Rome Statute. Clearly there are permanent members of the U.N.
Security Council who can preclude such an effort if they choose to. But
Article 16 might be used in a different way.... as a carrot.
Postponing the indictment might be an inducement for Bashir to
systematically correct some of the issues which have led to Ocampo's
seeking the indictment.
Would we be willing to delay the
indictment for six months and tell Bashir that another indictment delay
will be forthcoming if all objections to the full deployment of
UNAMID are withdrawn. Based on his fulfilling those promises, would we
be willing to delay the indictment if the janjaweed are disarmed of all
offensive weapons? Would we be willing to tie delay of the indictment
to see the CPA fully implemented? If, between now and 2011,
Sudan makes major strides toward a just and lasting peace and general
elections are successful, would we be willing to allow him asylum in
some nation so long as he remains clear of Sudan and its political,
military, and economic issues? When all has been achieved, issue the
indictment with the provision that it will not be enforced within the
nation in which asylum is granted so long as he remains in that nation
and complies with specified restrictions.
A part of me does not like my own
proposal. It seems that Bashir would not be adequately punished.
However, my faith assures me that ultimately he will be judged and given
his full reward.
Conclusion: Using the ICC
indictment to achieve the goals of the international community is the
way forward.
1 "The
Merits of Justice", John Norris, David Sullivan, and John Prendergast,
July 14, 2008
2 " New ICC
Prosecution: Opportunities and Risks for Peace in Sudan," International
Crisis Group, July 14, 2008
Sudanese
Land and Culture
Bill Andress
March 14, 2008
Recently I read a paper which was
written by James Okuk. His paper dealt with the ownership of land in
Southern Sudan. He reports that while some differences exist from one to
the other group, all tribal groups believe strongly in respecting and
safeguarding their land as a community-owned resource.
As big business comes to southern Sudan, unless these principles of
community ownership and other features of Sudanese culture are firmly
protected in both law and praxis, the people will be overrun and these
historic principles will be lost. Often, a developing nation sees big
business as progress...and it can be...but only if it is required to
conform to the principles valued by those who live in the developing
nation.
I expect that there is a strong temptation to think that western
ideas are more modern and, perhaps, even superior. I hope that Sudanese
people understand that some aspects of Sudanese culture are superior to
Western culture and that they have the wisdom to manage development
using the best of both.
My first prayer for southern Sudan is that the CPA will be honored
and peace will truly come.
My second prayer for southern Sudan is that the leaders will be
servant leaders rather than "grabbing for themselves while the
opportunity is there."
My third prayer for southern Sudan is that the people and leaders
will have the wisdom to move slowly in seeking to modernize. Every
Sudanese whom I ever have asked has told me that the most important
priority is education. Let education, healthcare, sanitation and safe
water move rapidly and all else at a managed, deliberate pace.
A Genocide Foretold
Nicholas
Kristof
Published:
February 28, 2008
JUBA,
Sudan
The
Sudanese government started the first genocide of the 21st century in
Darfur, and now it seems to be preparing to start the second here among
the thatch-roof huts of southern Sudan.
South
Sudan is rich in oil, but its people are among the poorest in the world,
far poorer than those in Darfur. Only 1 percent of girls here finish
elementary school, meaning that a young woman is more likely to die in
pregnancy or childbirth than to become literate. Leprosy and Ebola
linger here. South Sudan is the size of Texas, yet it has only 10 miles
of paved road and almost no electricity; just about the only running
water here is the NileRiver.
The
poverty is mostly the result of the civil war between North and South
Sudan that raged across the southern part of the country for two decades
and cost 2 million lives. For many impoverished villagers, their only
exposure to modern technology has been to endure bombings by the
Sudanese Air Force. The war finally ended, thanks in part to strong
American pressure, in 2005 with a landmark peace agreement — but that
peace is now fraying.
Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir is
backing away from the peace agreement, and prodding Arab militias to
revive the war with the South Sudan military forces. Small-scale armed
clashes have broken out since late last year, and it looks increasingly
likely that Darfur will become simply the prologue to a far bloodier
conflict that engulfs all Sudan.
Even my presence here is a sign of the
rising tensions and mistrust. The Sudanese government refuses me visas,
but the authorities in the south let me enter from Kenya without a visa
because they want the word to get out that war is again looming.
The
authorities in disputed areas such as the NubaMountains and Blue
NileState also welcomed me, rather than arresting me, even though those
areas technically are on the northern side of the dividing line. Local
officials in both areas warned that President Bashir and his radical
Arab political party are preparing to revive the war against non-Arab
groups in the south and center of the country.
“If things go on as they are now, war will
break out,” said Sila Musa Kangi, the commissioner of Kormuk in Blue
Nile. “And it can break out at any time.”
Although people speak of renewed “war,”
the violence is more likely to resemble what happens in a stockyard. If
it is like the last time, government-sponsored Arab militias will
slaughter civilians so as to terrorize local populations and drive them
far away from oil wells.
Under the
2005 deal that ended the war, Sudan is supposed to hold elections early
next year, but President Bashir is unlikely to allow them because he
almost surely would lose. Likewise, Mr. Bashir is unlikely to abide by
his commitment to allow the south to hold a referendum in 2011 to decide
whether to separate from Sudan because southerners would likely vote
overwhelmingly for independence — and more than three-quarters of the
country’s oil is in the south.
Already,
the Sudanese government is backtracking on its commitments under the
Comprehensive Peace Agreement, or C.P.A.: It still hasn’t withdrawn all
of its troops from the south; it hasn’t accepted a boundary commission
report for the oil-rich border area of Abyei; it keeps delaying a census
needed for the elections; and it appears to be cheating the south of oil
revenues. And the U.S. and other countries have acquiesced in all this.
“We say to
the international community, ‘you midwifed the C.P.A., and then you
left,’ ” said Rebecca Garang, the widow of the longtime southern leader,
John Garang. “You must come back and check the baby.”
Those who
focused on Sudan’s atrocities in Darfur, myself included, may have
inadvertently removed the spotlight from South Sudan. Without easing the
outrage over Darfur — where the bloodshed has been particularly
appalling lately — we must broaden the focus to include the threat to
the south.
One of the
lessons of Darfur, Rwanda and Bosnia is that it is much easier to avert
a genocide ahead of time than to put the pieces together afterward. So
let’s not wait until gunshots are ringing out again all over the south.
There are
steps that the U.S. can take to diminish the risk of a new war. We can
work with the international community to raise the costs to President
Bashir of defying his treaty obligations.
We can
warn Sudan that if it starts a new war, we will supply anti-aircraft
weapons to the south to make it harder for the north to resume bombing
hospitals, churches and schools. We can also raise the possibility of
protecting the south with a no-fly zone, which might be enough to deter
Mr. Bashir from starting yet another genocide.
Comment
on this column on my blog at:
www.nytimes.com/ontheground.
To see the Future……Look to the Past.
bobbie
frances mcdonald
Oldanew@aol.com
September 4, 2007
“History repeats
itself” has become a trite comment and therefore is frequently ignored.
“Never Again!” seems to have fallen into the same category. Both of them
should be neon signs in the world view as it relates to Sudan.
A knowledgeable Sudan
advocate who has been on the scene for over 20 years said last week that
the entire country could be in chaos by the end of the year. As alarming
as that was, to those of us who pay close attention to Sudan, it was sad
but not unthinkable.
By looking at Sudan’s
turbulent past it was evident that Darfur-like scenes would certainly be
reported from regions all across this huge country. Each new atrocity,
dirty trick and broken promise that has been reported recently has a
parallel Sudan’s history.
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The tactics of resorting to a proxy militia which is armed and
directed by the government of Sudan and compensating them with the
spoils of war; |
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Destroying entire villages/tribes either by burning or flooding,
redirecting the Nile to make a dam where populations lived for
centuries; |
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Instigating conflicts between peoples of a region, particularly
nomadic herders and farmers over natural resources; |
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Disruption of internally displaced people and interference with
delivery of humanitarian aid as a means of genocide; |
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Divide and conquer techniques to weaken the leadership and interfere
with their ability to make regionally acceptable peace
negotiations. |
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Presently reports coming out of the Nubia,
Kordofan and Beja regions, as well as areas in Southern Sudan, indicate
that history is indeed being repeated and the impending consequences
will be more chaos and death across the country. Will it be a
“genocide?” That depends on who is assessing the situation but on
September 3, 2007 Darfur finally made to the front page of the New York
Times with this headline telling of a new variation on the old divide
and conquer:
Chaos in Darfur
on Rise as Arabs Fight with Arabs “NYALA, Sudan: Some of the
same Arab tribes accused of massacring civilians in the Darfur region of
Sudan are now unleashing their considerable firepower against one
another in a battle over the spoils of war that is killing hundreds of
people and displacing tens of thousands.”
"Darfur’s violence has
often been characterized as government-backed Arab tribes slaughtering
non-Arab tribes, but this new Arab-versus-Arab dimension seems to be a
sign of the evolving complexity of the crisis. What started out four
years ago in western Sudan as a rebellion and brutal counterinsurgency
has cracked wide open into a fluid, chaotic, confusing free-for-all with
dozens of armed groups, a spike in banditry and chronic attacks on aid
workers."
Hopefully, the international community will intervene before these kinds
of headlines become commonplace.
SAAF's Position on a No Fly Zone over Darfur
Bill Andress
BillAndress@SudanAdvocacy.com
July 21, 2007
In the past SAAF was a "quiet advocate"
of a NO FLY ZONE (NFZ). That is - we believed in the concept but did
not understand how it could be implemented. Because we could not
understand "how" to do it, we did not openly advocate for it. Based on
recent information and changing circumstances on the ground, we now
feel that imposing a NFZ is not just a difficult - but an inappropriate
action.
SAAF is not welded to any specific
position; rather we adjust our advocacy to reflect current and
reasonably anticipated conditions on the ground in Sudan. What we never
compromise is our objective....a just and lasting peace for all of
Sudan. This change in our position on the NFZ is driven by changes
on the ground.
The major change on the ground in Darfur
which advises our opposition to a NFZ is that few people today
are being harmed by Government of Sudan (GoS) flights. While
it is true that some GoS military flights against both civilian and
rebel military targets continue, the number and frequency of such
flights has been significantly reduced. All, of course, should be
stopped. Some might say, so long as there are any people being harmed
we should support a NFZ. However, the unintended consequence of
the imposition of a NFZ is that it would result in increased mortality
rather than less.
The imposition of a NFZ probably would result in retaliation against
the humanitarian relief efforts which, in all likelihood, would result
in shutting down their operations. This would bring about a
horrible humanitarian disaster which now is being averted by these
humanitarian relief efforts. Additionally, information which is being
provided by humanitarian workers and that level of protection, which now
is provided by the active presence of international aid workers, would
be lost if they were forced to evacuate the region.
Even if the NFZ did not result in retaliation, as a minimum
distinguishing between military flights, humanitarian flights and
commercial flights used by NGOs would be very difficult though not
impossible. The GoS is consciously using the same types of
planes used by UN and humanitarian agencies. It has painted many of
them the same color and even disguised tail markings. Both GoS and
humanitarian aircraft operate from the same air fields and are virtually
visually indistinguishable from the air. The confusion resulting from
these GoS actions would result in high risk for humanitarian aircraft
which likely would result in their withdrawal from Darfur.
Implementation of a NFZ in all likelihood would require obtaining basing
rights from Chad. Eastern Chad already is embroiled in its own "Darfur-like"
tragedy. This would be exacerbated by Chad's granting such rights.
Our decision to oppose a NFZ
does not mean that we should abandon "the stick" in our "carrot and
stick" effort...just that "the stick' should not include threatening a
NFZ at this time.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
“We slaughter goats, we eat together, we are reconciled.”
(Acholi Justice)
bobbie-frances mcdonald
bobbiefrances@sudanadvocacy.com
July 14,
2007
Does traditional justice indicate a level
of naiveté? Does it reflect poorly on those who would prefer time
honored solutions such as “Mato Oput”? This reconciliation ritual
involves a murderer admitting his crime to the relatives of the victim
followed by both parties drinking a bitter brew made from a tree root
mixed with sheep’s blood. Here the closest thing to civilized justice is
that compensation might be required and even then the amount is decided
in a spirit of cooperation.
“The US based Human Rights Watch says,
such rituals are unacceptable because credible justice must dish out
punishments to fit the crimes.” (Reuters, July 5, 2007) I am struck by
the use of the words “dish out punishments.” It implies that the only
way to attain justice is to exact retribution since the synonyms for
punishment are all words that describe severe penalties.
Perhaps we should be more considerate of
the culture and customs of the impacted people rather than seeking to
impose our way of thought on them. When we meddle, we not only insert
ourselves into the problem but at times such as in the case of the
Lord’s Resistance Army and the government of Uganda we may actually
intensify the problem. In this instance, as well as in the case of the
genocide in Darfur, western powers have initiated an action by the
Hague’s International Criminal Court to indict and try the people they
have deemed to be the transgressors of crimes against humanity. In both
of these cases some of those named in the indictments are high level
officials who are important players in the long sought peace
negotiations. And the tribunals that loom in the future are having a
negative impact on getting a sustainable peace agreement.
In considering this idea of the peace
being held hostage to getting justice I examined what justice means.
Some synonyms for it are reparation, atonement, amends, redress and even
satisfaction. None of these words implies flogging which is one of the
choices for punishment However, satisfaction caught my attention because
that can only be defined by ones culture and values. Therefore, in
these instances, it seems arrogant to impose western values especially
since there are no westerners involved in the crimes.
Next I looked at this from a faith-based
perspective. I think that in most of the major religious traditions it
is the Supreme Being of the faith that ultimately decides one’s fate. If
it is the Divine who metes out justice, then what are we here on earth
trying to accomplish? What is it that needs to be addressed so that we
can live peacefully? For peace on earth is what most of us would state
as a main objective. In that case what if we tried to understand justice
in light of what has to occur to bring us to reconcile with our abusers?
Reconciliation is to find a way to reunite, harmonize, restore
relationship with or even resign ourselves to or adjust.
Therefore, if the Acholi need to have a
Mato Oput ceremony to become reconciled and live in harmony with the
Lord’s Resistance Army why should westerners object? To us it may look
like amnesty which lately seems to be a dirty word. But it doesn't
really mean that someone got away with something and it worked in South
Africa and Rwanda where courts leveled a more traditional form of
justice.
I believe that my faith would want me to
pray for Peace and Justice and leave Crime and Punishment to Dostoevsky.
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